My Fear for Wike…..Lanre Adewole

The political landscape within the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) has been anything but stable, and much of that instability can be attributed to the actions of Nyesom Wike. As the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Wike has become a controversial figure, driven by his determination to ensure a Southern presidency until 2031. Yet, his methods have raised serious concerns about both his strategy and the long-term consequences of his actions.

Wike’s insistence on a Southern president, while rooted in a desire for regional equity, has often been delivered in a manner that seems more self-serving than altruistic. His close relationship with the acting PDP National Chairman, Iliya Damagum, has done little to alleviate fears that Wike’s ultimate goal is not the advancement of the South, but rather the consolidation of his own power. This is especially evident in his push for an elected national chairman and other executive members, a move that many see as a way to secure his influence within the party.

However, history should remind Wike that political allegiances can be fickle. The political North, which is eyeing a return to power in 2027, is unlikely to tolerate Wike’s dominance for long. Even within the PDP, there is growing concern that Wike’s approach could lead to a repeat of past mistakes, where the party failed to unite behind a common candidate, ultimately leading to electoral losses.

Furthermore, Wike’s role as Tinubu’s “wingman” raises additional questions about his loyalty and long-term ambitions. While he has publicly declared that he will not seek the presidency if Tinubu is a candidate, the reality of Nigerian politics suggests that such declarations are often more strategic than sincere. Should Tinubu decide not to run, Wike could find himself without a clear path to the presidency, leaving him vulnerable within both the PDP and the broader political landscape.

My fear for Wike lies in his apparent inability to play the long game. His aggressive tactics, while effective in the short term, may alienate him from potential allies and leave him isolated when he needs support the most. Wike’s refusal to back down, even when it might be strategically wise to do so, could lead to his downfall.

In conclusion, Wike’s current trajectory is fraught with danger. His relentless pursuit of power, while commendable in its intensity, risks not only his political future but also the stability of the PDP. As 2027 approaches, Wike must carefully consider his next moves, or he may find himself on the outside looking in.